I’m not super math-oriented by nature, but I really lean on MLS statistics. April’s report is going to be very telling about how COVID-19 affected the real estate market. I have to say it wasn’t as bad as I thought in some ways, and worse in others, but from a homeowner’s standpoint there’s definitely a silver lining. Sales from April 2019 for single family homes have diminished 16% and 34% for condos and townhomes. What that tells me is condo and townhome buyers are considerably more vulnerable to the shutdown than single-family buyers, and there may be more whimsical buyers that don’t necessarily have to buy.
“But John, you roguishly handsome, yet sophisticated man-about-town”, I hear you ask, “is this this the beginning of a market correction?”. Unfortunately for the average buyer, it is probably not. While sales are down considerably, listing inventory is down even more. The Wall Street Journal even wrote an article on the diminished supply keeping prices moving upward, albeit at a slower pace. Where we may see a correction is in the mid-level new construction around the periphery of the Metroplex, where builders are anxious to finish out inventory. But inside the loop I just don’t see prices below $1 million being a thing. Make no mistake, it is a buyer’s market over $2 million, and far more friendly for them from $1-2 million, but the average homebuyer isn’t going to get to enjoy much more than normal besides record low interest rates.
I feel like a broken record saying this, but I do sincerely mean it, please feel free to reach out to me with any questions. This has been a black swan event, and I can’t predict the future (yet), but I’m doing my best to keep my finger on the pulse of all local markets. I’m just glad there’s a light at the end of the tunnel, and businesses are starting to open back up.